Integrated methodology for the management of uncertainty and complexity in climate change adaptation policies: a Bayesian Decision Network approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
The proposed methodology is built upon the sequential use of specific tools, which are based on the integrated application of conceptual modelling and expert judgment elicitation techniques, decision analysis and probabilistic modelling, within the broader framework of the NetSyMoD methodology (Giupponi et al. 2008; www.netsymod.eu/), previously developed, facilitating the involvement of stakeholders or experts in policyor decisionmaking processes.
منابع مشابه
Potentials of Bayesian Networks to Deal with Uncertainty in Climate Change Adaptation Policies
and Carlo Giupponi Ca’ Foscari University, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici SUMMARY Bayesian networks (BNs) have been increasingly applied to support management and decision-making processes under conditions of environmental variability and uncertainty, providing logical and holistic reasoning in complex systems since they succinctly and effe...
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تاریخ انتشار 2008